Key Signals from $885M NYC Multifamily Loans Maturing in the Next 12 Months

Zach Suh

Research at Caelon

Published on: August 17, 2026

Exhibit 1 · Neighborhood concentration
$885M coming due: where NYC's maturing multifamily debt sits, district by district, and where it is already under pressure
bubble area = maturing principal in the districtat least a quarter of the district's maturing parcels are distressed
MANHATTANBRONXBROOKLYNQUEENSBK 06$190MMN 08$137MMN 07$72.1MMN 12$54.2MBK 01$51.0MQN 01$35.7MQN 12$31.4MQN 04$30.0MBX 03$28.4M
Bubbles sit at the center of each community district's apartment stock. Staten Island is not in the city register and is not shown. Source: NYC public property records.

Inside the full report

The same public record, read building by building, so a lender or buyer can see pressure before the maturity date does.

  • What to do with it: sourcing, CapEx and lender-screening rules pulled straight from the findings.
  • The BPS rubric with exact points and thresholds, calibrated on 233 completed foreclosures, ready to run on your own pipeline.
  • A ten-year, borough-by-borough Pressure Index on the maturing cohort, and why the Bronx doubled.
  • Lender-type exposure: principal, term, assignment and distress rate for banks, private lenders, agencies and insurers.
  • The foreclosure benchmark, and three maturing parcels that already trace the foreclosed path, with 36-month case timelines.
  • The full maturity wall to 2056: every live NYC mortgage by property type, and the 491 loans already past their date.

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